|
|
Home : Fantasy Baseball : Perspectives
Ahead In The CountA.J. Burnett On The Trading BlockJuly 14, 2005Author: Tim Dierkes |
 Rating: 10.0 out of 10 Total votes: 1 |
|
As we get a few weeks away from the trading deadline, all sorts of MLB trade rumors are surfacing. The most interesting rumors to date involve Marlins starter A.J. Burnett. Based on this South Florida Sun-Sentinel article, Burnett's most likely suitors at the moment are the Toronto Blue Jays followed by the Baltimore Orioles. Burnett has never made 30 starts in a season, so he is a significant health risk. However, a lot of the time missed was from Tommy John surgery. TJ is currently being performed on one in nine pitchers, so the recovery rate is high. How does all this info figure into your fantasy baseball strategy? First let's look at how good a player A.J. Burnett actually is. He has a translated career ERA of 3.67...good, but not great. Burnett is actually very comparable to former Baltimore and However, Burnett shouldn't be expected to remain in those favorable conditions. First off, he was shut down last year for inflammation in his repaired elbow. Second, he is likely to be traded to the American League, where ERAs go to die (just ask Carl Pavano). On the third point, he will probably have a decent offense behind him after the trade. You might be looking at an ERA in the high 3s and will have to cross your fingers on the health issue. The upshot is that he could win 10 games in the second half. The bottom line here is to take a one-year gamble on Burnett if you are making a run at the title. Don't make the mistake of thinking he's a five-year keeper. Offer up a marginal prospect who's playing over his head, and you might surge toward first in your fantasy baseball league. You'd do well to offer Gustavo Chacin, just as the Blue Jays might do in real life. Tim Dierkes posts daily updates to his fantasy baseball blog as The Roto Authority. Check out the site at: for in-depth player analysis, Major League Baseball trade rumors, and unique fantasy baseball strategy articles. |
|
|
Search our database of fantasy
sites.
|
|
|
Navigation
|
|
|
More on Addict Fantasy Sports™
|
|
|
Want to write an article for AFS?
Click Here |
|
|
Interested in Advertising
on Addict Fantasy Sports?
|
|
 |
Resources * |
Fantasy Tools |
Schedules-Weather-News |
|
|
| ! |